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SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATES
ORIGINAL ESTIMATES
VOLUME MEASURES
NOTES FORTHCOMING ISSUES
CHANGES IN THIS ISSUE Quarterly chain volume data are shown in tables 14 and 15 of this issue. A new base year, 2004-05, has been introduced into the chain volume estimates which resulted in revisions to growth rates in subsequent periods. In addition, the chain volume estimates have been re-referenced to 2004-05, thereby preserving additivity in the quarters after the reference year. Re-referencing affects the levels of, but not the movements in, chain volume estimates.
FOOD RETAILING There has been moderate growth in the trend since December 2005. The Northern Territory has had strong trend growth for the last five months. Queensland and Victoria had moderate trend growth in June 2006 after strong growth for three and four months respectively, and Western Australia has had three months of moderate trend growth. DEPARTMENT STORES There has been weak trend growth for the last three months. New South Wales had weak trend growth in this period, Queensland had weak growth in the last two months and the Australian Capital Territory had weak growth in June and was flat in May. Western Australia had moderate trend growth in the last two months after five months of strong growth. Victoria and South Australia were in decline in the last two months. CLOTHING AND SOFT GOOD RETAILING The trend growth has been weak for the last three months. The Northern Territory and Western Australia have had strong trend growth for four and nine months respectively. New South Wales (four months), Queensland (three months), South Australia (two months) and the Australian Capital Territory (six months) have had moderate trend growth, while Victoria and Tasmania have been in decline for at least three months. HOUSEHOLD GOOD RETAILING There has been moderate trend growth for six months. New South Wales has had weak growth for eight months and Victoria for the last two months, while Queensland has had moderate trend growth for the last two months. All other states have had strong trend growth for at least three months. RECREATIONAL GOOD RETAILING The trend has been in decline for 14 months. Victoria, Queensland, Western Australia and Tasmania have been in decline for at least three months, and South Australia went into decline in June 2006. In contrast, New South Wales has had strong trend growth for three months and the Northern Territory for five months. The Australian Capital Territory has been flat for three months. OTHER RETAILING There has been strong growth in the trend for the last eight months. Victoria has had strong trend growth for seven months, while Queensland had moderate growth in June 2006 after eight months of strong growth. Trend growth in Western Australia and South Australia was in decline in the last two and three months respectively. TOTAL RETAIL (EXCLUDING HOSPITALITY AND SERVICES) Total retail (excluding Hospitality and services) has had moderate trend growth in the last seven months. Over the last six months, the trend growth for Total retail (excluding Hospitality and services) has been the same as for Total industries (including Hospitality and services). HOSPITALITY AND SERVICES There has been moderate or strong growth in the trend for at least 15 months. Victoria, Western Australia and the Australian Capital Territory have had strong growth for at least six months, while New South Wales has had moderate trend growth in the last three months. Trend growth has been slowing in South Australia (weak growth in last two months), Northern Territory (weak growth in June 2006), Queensland and Tasmania (in decline for five months). STATE TRENDS MONTHLY SEASONALLY ADJUSTED AND TREND ESTIMATES NEW SOUTH WALES There has been moderate trend growth for eight months. Recreational good retailing has had strong growth for the last three months. Clothing and soft good retailing, Other retailing and Hospitality and services have had moderate trend growth over the last three months, while all other industries had weak trend growth in this period. VICTORIA There was moderate trend growth in June 2006 after five months of strong trend growth. Food retailing had moderate trend growth in June after four months of strong growth. Hospitality and services and Other retailing have had strong trend growth for seven months. Department stores was in decline for the last two months. QUEENSLAND There has been mostly moderate trend growth for at least 15 months. Food retailing and Other retailing had moderate trend growth in June 2006 after strong growth for three and eight months respectively. For the last two months, Clothing and soft good retailing and Household good retailing had moderate trend growth and Department stores had weak trend growth. SOUTH AUSTRALIA The trend growth was weak in June 2006 after three months of moderate growth. For the last two months, Food retailing and Hospitality and services had weak trend growth and Clothing and soft good retailing had moderate growth. Household good retailing had strong trend growth over the last four months, while the remaining industries were flat or in decline in the last three months. WESTERN AUSTRALIA In June 2006, the trend growth was moderate after five months of strong growth. Clothing and soft good retailing, Household good retailing and Hospitality and services have all had at least six months of strong trend growth. Department stores had moderate trend growth in May and June 2006 after five months of strong growth. Food retailing has had moderate trend growth for the last three months. TASMANIA The trend has been in decline for the last three months. The trends for Clothing and soft good retailing (three months), Hospitality and services (five months) and Recreational good retailing (seven months) have been in decline. Food retailing was flat in June 2006. Household good retailing has had strong trend growth over the last three months. Document Selection These documents will be presented in a new window.
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